New Prop 8 Poll

There’s a new Field Poll out this morning, measuring the support for Proposition 8 in California — the Anti Gay Marriage Constitutional Amendment.  It’s good news — fifty-one percent of likely voters polled oppose the measure.  For a measure to pass — usually — at this point those putting the measure on the ballot would want to see better than sixty percent support.  Support tends to lessen as the campaign heats up.

I don’t know that the scenario I described above will happen this time.  I think positions on same-sex marriage are pretty well defined at this point.  I would hope, though, that as people learn more and see more married same-sex couples, that they would come to support same-sex marriage.